Bonus Free Throws

A “bonus” free throw means that if you get the first one in, you get a second free throw. Each free throw that a player makes is awarded one point. At the end of regulation, Rachel’s team is one point behind and she has just been awarded a “bonus” free throw. Rachel is a 60% free throw shooter.

What is the probability that Rachel will send the game into overtime?

(Source: Eric Saltsman)